Derby win takes Cruzeiro to a 94.9% chance of reaching the Libertadores
Cruzeiro's chance of qualifying for the 2027 Libertadores rose from 82.9% to 94.9% after beating Atlético-MG 1-0, according to the site Valor Final. Artur Jorge's side reached 57 points and stay third; beating Bahia on 5 November could lift the figure to 99.4%.
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O Cruzeiro venceu o Atlético-MG por 1 a 0 na Arena MRV nesta quinta-feira (29 de outubro), e a conta da Libertadores de 2027 mudou de patamar. O levantamento é do site Valor Final: a Raposa aparece agora com 94,9% de chance de se classificar ao torneio continental.
Antes da 33ª rodada, o número era de 82,9%. O triunfo no clássico somou 12 pontos percentuais.
O time de Artur Jorge chegou a 57 pontos e segue terceiro colocado. O gol foi de Kaio Jorge.
O modelo do Valor Final roda 20 mil simulações para estimar o desempenho de cada clube. No caso cruzeirense, o percentual considera terminar o Brasileirão entre os cinco primeiros, sem contar vagas extras que possam abrir por outras competições.
Restam cinco jogos: três em casa, no Mineirão, e dois como visitante. A primeira parada é o Bahia, em 5 de novembro, às 21h30 de Brasília, no duelo da 34ª rodada. Vencer os baianos pode elevar a chance a 99,4% e deixar a vaga praticamente confirmada.
Depois vêm Palmeiras (35ª, no Mineirão) e Chapecoense (36ª, na Arena Condá), seguidos pelo Fluminense, no Maracanã. O fechamento é contra o Internacional, em dezembro, em casa.
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