Flamengo rise to 87.3% title chance and open three points on Palmeiras
Flamengo's 4-1 win over Vasco lifted their title chances from 69.6% to 87.3%, according to the UFMG mathematics department, while Palmeiras fell from 30.4% to 12.7% after drawing with Santos. Flamengo lead with 73 points, three clear of their rivals.
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A goleada por 4 a 1 sobre o Vasco, nesta quinta-feira (29), no Nilton Santos, impulsionou as chances de título do Flamengo no Brasileirão. O cálculo é do Departamento de Matemática da UFMG (Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais): a chance de título rubro-negra subiu de 69,6% para 87,3%.
O tropeço do Palmeiras ajudou: o alviverde ficou no 0 a 0 com o Santos, na Vila Belmiro, e sua chance recuou de 30,4% para 12,7%. A 33ª rodada termina com o Flamengo na frente por 73 a 70, três pontos de vantagem.
Na quarta-feira, 4 de novembro, o Flamengo enfrenta o Grêmio no Maracanã. O Palmeiras pega o Remo na próxima rodada, no Nubank Parque, e no domingo abre a semifinal da Copa do Brasil contra o Vasco, em casa.
As duas equipes ainda se enfrentam no returno: o duelo está marcado para a 36ª rodada, em 22 de novembro, no Nubank Parque. No primeiro turno, os paulistas venceram por 3 a 0, no Maracanã.
Sem competições de mata-mata pela frente, o Flamengo dedica-se apenas ao Brasileirão até o fim da temporada. O Palmeiras, por sua vez, terá de se desdobrar: além da semifinal da Copa do Brasil, tem a final da Libertadores diante do Estudiantes de la Plata, em Montevidéu, em 28 de novembro.
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