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11/02/2026 · Brazil EditionENPT
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What Antonelli needs to do to seal the F1 title in Mexico

Andrea Kimi Antonelli can seal a first F1 title in Mexico: with 365 points he leads George Russell by 123 and needs only to finish in the top nine, regardless of his rivals. Five rounds and 125 points remain, 100 of them still on offer after Mexico.

By RedaçãoPublished: 10/26/2026, 05:21

Full text available in Portuguese only. Read the Portuguese version

Andrea Kimi Antonelli está a um passo do primeiro título mundial de Fórmula 1. Vencedor do GP dos Estados Unidos no domingo (25), o italiano da Mercedes aumentou sua margem na ponta e tem chance de selar o título já na etapa seguinte, no México.

Antonelli soma 365 pontos, 123 à frente do companheiro George Russell (242). Terceiro colocado, o ferrarista Lewis Hamilton tem 241. Restam cinco etapas e 125 pontos em disputa; depois do México, sobrarão quatro GPs, o equivalente a 100 pontos.

A conta é direta: terminar entre os nove primeiros no México garante o título, independentemente do que fizerem os rivais. O nono lugar vale dois pontos e levaria Antonelli a 367; mesmo com vitória de Russell, o britânico iria a 267 e ficaria exatamente 100 atrás, com 100 ainda em jogo — diferença que não pode mais ser revertida, pois o italiano tem mais vitórias em 2026 e leva vantagem no primeiro critério de desempate.

Ou seja: não é preciso vencer nem subir ao pódio. Dois pontos bastam. E há outro caminho: se Antonelli não pontuar, o título ainda vem se Russell e Hamilton não vencerem a corrida. Se Antonelli abandonar ou ficar fora da zona de pontos e Russell ganhar, o britânico chega a 267 e fica 98 atrás, com 100 em disputa; Hamilton, vencendo, iria a 266 e reduziria a diferença para 99. Um décimo lugar, por sua vez, dá um ponto e leva o italiano a 366 — cenário em que Russell ainda manteria a disputa aberta vencendo o GP.

Depois da etapa norte-americana, apenas Russell e Hamilton seguem com chances matemáticas. Max Verstappen, com 236 pontos, está 129 atrás; mesmo vencendo todas as cinco corridas restantes, chegaria a 361, insuficiente. Charles Leclerc, com 233, poderia somar no máximo 358.

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